Global Demand, Local Ideas: The Impact of Trade Shocks on Firm Innovation

Abstract

This paper examines how firms’ innovation activity responds to product- and destination-specific export demand shocks in their export markets. I draw on unique administrative data for Finnish manufacturing firms from 1999 onwards, matched with national customs records, patent data, and innovation and R&D surveys. The analysis reveals that positive export demand shocks significantly increase patenting activity and the likelihood of introducing new product innovations, while negative shocks reduce patenting and exports. The study finds that these innovation responses are dynamic, with patent applications rising in the short term and granted patents materializing over longer horizons. Heterogeneity analysis shows that more productive and financially stronger firms benefit disproportionately from export demand expansions. This pattern suggests that financial constraints may limit the ability of firms to adopt new innovations even as they expand production.

Publication info

Results of research
Innovation and Growth Research 2024 - How to boost R&D through internationalization and sustainability
Research group
Growth, international trade and competition
Series
ETLA Working Papers 134
Date
22.12.2025
Keywords
Export demand shock, Firm-level, Innovation, Manufacturing
ISSN
2323-2420, 2323-2439 (Pdf)
JEL
F14, O19, O30
Pages
32
Language
English