Who Gains from Agglomeration? The Wage, Productivity, and Cost Effects of Transport Improvements on Firms and Workers

Riukula KristaVäänänen Touko

Abstract

We study the impact of transport-induced agglomeration on worker earnings and establishment-level outcomes in the Helsinki region, Finland, using comprehensive administrative microdata. We are the first to jointly examine worker- and firm-level effects of agglomeration within a unified empirical framework. Using a multimodal workplace-to-workplace accessibility measure and exploiting transport network changes and establishment relocations for identification, we find that improved accessibility increases annual earnings: doubling accessibility raises wages by approximately 4.5 percent. The effects are driven entirely by localization economies, i.e., access to workplaces within the worker’s own industry, while urbanization economies have no significant wage effect. In contrast, we find no statistically significant impact of accessibility on value added per worker. Instead, improved accessibility increases establishment employment and raises other operating expenses per worker, consistent with higher rents. Doubling accessibility increases employment by 8.7 percent and other operating costs per worker by 6.1 percent. Taken together, our results suggest that the gains from transport-induced agglomeration accrue primarily to workers and property owners rather than being captured as higher firm-level productivity. These findings have direct implications for the evaluation of wider economic impacts in transport cost–benefit analysis.

Transport Policy, Vol. 186, September 2026, 104211.

Julkaisun tietoja

Tuloksia tutkimuksesta
Tuottavuusjoustot ja kasautumisvaikutukset
Tutkimusryhmä
Työmarkkinat ja koulutus
Päiväys
04.06.2026
Keywords
Agglomeration, Productivity, Transport Project, Accessibility
JEL
R41, R42, R12
Julkaisija / sarja
Transport Policy, Vol. 186, September 2026, 104211
Kieli
Englanti
Julkaisu ladattavissa
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