--- title: "Ilmiöt 2022 – Etla katsoo tulevaan" authors: - name: "Sulander, Tytti (toim.)" - name: "Kangasharju, Aki" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kangasharju-aki/" sameAs: - "https://twitter.com/AkiKangasharju" - name: "Kauhanen, Antti" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kauhanen-antti/" sameAs: - "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9506-1241" - "https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=AjYlgDoAAAAJ" - "https://twitter.com/Antti_Kauhanen" - "https://sites.google.com/view/antti-kauhanen/home" - name: "Koski, Heli" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/koski-heli/" sameAs: - "https://twitter.com/heli_koski" - name: "Kulvik, Martti" - name: "Kuusela, Olli-Pekka" - name: "Kuusi, Tero" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kuusi-tero/" sameAs: - "https://twitter.com/TeroKuusi" - name: "Lehmus, Markku" - name: "Puonti, Päivi" - name: "Ropponen, Olli" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/ropponen-olli/" sameAs: - "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5175-6284" - "https://twitter.com/ropponen_olli" - name: "Valkonen, Tarmo" url: "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/valkonen-tarmo/" sameAs: - "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9052-4390" - "https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=dNgtiMIAAAAJ" date_published: "2021-12-28" series: "ETLA Muistio - ETLA Brief" series_number: "103" issn: - "2323-2463" language: "fi" publisher: "ETLA Economic Research" pdf_url: "https://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/ETLA-Muistio-Brief-103.pdf" keywords: - "Talouskasvu" - "Talouspolitiikka" - "Inflaatio" - "Finanssipolitiikka" - "Rahapolitiikka" - "Ilmasto" - "Vihreä siirtymä" - "Ennuste" - "EU" - "Euro" - "Suomi" - "Sote" - "Työllisyys" - "COVID-19" - "Koronapandemia" - "Omikron" identifier: "https://www.etla.fi/julkaisut/id/ETLA-Muistio---ETLA-Brief-103" abstract: "Kolmas koronavuosi 2022 ei käynnisty valoisissa merkeissä omikronmuunnoksen levitessä. Arvioimme kuitenkin koko vuoden 2022 talouskehitystä varovaisen optimistisesti. Suomessa kasvu jatkuu, vaikkakin kuluvaa vuotta hitaampana. Pandemian hankalin vaihe on alkuvuonna, mutta kesää kohti palveluiden kulutus vauhdittuu uudelleen, ja loppuvuoden näkymä on selvästi kirkkaampi. Samalla paine kestävän, kasvuystävällisen ja vastasyklisen talouspolitiikan tekemiseen Suomessa kasvaa. Globaalisti vuoden 2022 talouspolitiikan suuri teema on inflaation paluu, mikä juontaa kysynnän elpymisestä, suurista elvytyspaketeista ja vihreästä siirtymästä." abstract_translations: en: "The third corona year 2022 will not start very brightly as the Omicron variant of COVID-19 continues to spread. However, we are cautiously optimistic about economic development throughout 2022. In Finland, growth will continue, albeit at a slower pace than this year. The most difficult phase of the pandemic is in the early part of the year, but towards the summer, consumption of services will pick up again, and the outlook for the rest of the year is clearly brighter. At the same time, the pressure to pursue a sustainable, growth-friendly and counter-cyclical economic policy in Finland is growing. Globally, the big theme of 2022 economic policy is the return of inflation, which stems from a recovery in demand, large stimulus packages, and a European Green Deal." --- # Ilmiöt 2022 – Etla katsoo tulevaan **Published:** 2021-12-28 **Categories:** Julkaisut, Muistiot **URL:** https://www.etla.fi/julkaisut/ilmiot-2022-etla-katsoo-tulevaan/ #### Tiivistelmä Kolmas koronavuosi 2022 ei käynnisty valoisissa merkeissä omikronmuunnoksen levitessä. Arvioimme kuitenkin koko vuoden 2022 talouskehitystä varovaisen optimistisesti. Suomessa kasvu jatkuu, vaikkakin kuluvaa vuotta hitaampana. Pandemian hankalin vaihe on alkuvuonna, mutta kesää kohti palveluiden kulutus vauhdittuu uudelleen, ja loppuvuoden näkymä on selvästi kirkkaampi. Samalla paine kestävän, kasvuystävällisen ja vastasyklisen talouspolitiikan tekemiseen Suomessa kasvaa. Globaalisti vuoden 2022 talouspolitiikan suuri teema on inflaation paluu, mikä juontaa kysynnän elpymisestä, suurista elvytyspaketeista ja vihreästä siirtymästä. # Phenomena 2022 – A Glimpse into the Future #### Abstract The third corona year 2022 will not start very brightly as the Omicron variant of COVID-19 continues to spread. However, we are cautiously optimistic about economic development throughout 2022. In Finland, growth will continue, albeit at a slower pace than this year. The most difficult phase of the pandemic is in the early part of the year, but towards the summer, consumption of services will pick up again, and the outlook for the rest of the year is clearly brighter. At the same time, the pressure to pursue a sustainable, growth-friendly and counter-cyclical economic policy in Finland is growing. Globally, the big theme of 2022 economic policy is the return of inflation, which stems from a recovery in demand, large stimulus packages, and a European Green Deal. --- ## Additional Information **Kirjoittajat:** Sulander, Tytti (toim.) - Kangasharju, Aki - Kauhanen, Antti - Koski, Heli - Kulvik, Martti - Kuusela, Olli-Pekka - Kuusi, Tero - Lehmus, Markku - Puonti, Päivi - Ropponen, Olli - Valkonen, Tarmo **Publication Research:** No **Kansikuva:** https://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/etla-muistio-brief-103-kansi.jpg **Lataa Pdf:** https://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/ETLA-Muistio-Brief-103.pdf **Key Words:** Economic growth, Economic policy, Inflation, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Climate, Green Deal, Forecast, EU, Euro, Finland, Employment, COVID-19, Pandemic, Omicron **Avainsanat:** Talouskasvu, Talouspolitiikka, Inflaatio, Finanssipolitiikka, Rahapolitiikka, Ilmasto, Vihreä siirtymä, Ennuste, EU, Euro, Suomi, Sote, Työllisyys, COVID-19, Koronapandemia, Omikron **Paivays:** 28.12.2021 **Sivuja:** 8 **Kieli:** fi **Sarja:** ETLA Muistio - ETLA Brief **Sarja Nro:** 103 **Issn:** 2323-2463 **Saatavuus:** 2 ## Bibliographic metadata (JSON-LD) ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "ScholarlyArticle", "@id": "https://www.etla.fi/julkaisut/id/ETLA-Muistio---ETLA-Brief-103", "headline": "Ilmiöt 2022 – Etla katsoo tulevaan", "inLanguage": "fi", "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "ETLA Economic Research", "url": "https://www.etla.fi", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/logo-etla_logo.svg" } }, "datePublished": "2021-12-28T00:00:00+00:00", "author": [ { "@type": "Person", "name": "Sulander, Tytti (toim.)" }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Kangasharju, Aki", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kangasharju-aki/", "sameAs": [ "https://twitter.com/AkiKangasharju" ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Kauhanen, Antti", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kauhanen-antti/", "sameAs": [ "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9506-1241", "https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=AjYlgDoAAAAJ", "https://twitter.com/Antti_Kauhanen", "https://sites.google.com/view/antti-kauhanen/home" ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Koski, Heli", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/koski-heli/", "sameAs": [ "https://twitter.com/heli_koski" ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Kulvik, Martti" }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Kuusela, Olli-Pekka" }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Kuusi, Tero", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/kuusi-tero/", "sameAs": [ "https://twitter.com/TeroKuusi" ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Lehmus, Markku" }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Puonti, Päivi" }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Ropponen, Olli", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/ropponen-olli/", "sameAs": [ "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5175-6284", "https://twitter.com/ropponen_olli" ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Valkonen, Tarmo", "url": "https://www.etla.fi/henkilot/valkonen-tarmo/", "sameAs": [ "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9052-4390", "https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=dNgtiMIAAAAJ" ] } ], "abstract": "Kolmas koronavuosi 2022 ei käynnisty valoisissa merkeissä omikronmuunnoksen levitessä. 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