Jukka Lassila

All practical evaluations of fiscal sustainability that include the effects of population ageing must utilize demographic forecasts. It is well known that such forecasts are uncertain, and that has been taken into account in some studies by using stochastic population projections jointly with economic models. We develop this approach further by introducing regular demographic forecast

This study analyses financial sustainability of the Finnish public sector. Current tax rates are unlikely to yield sufficient tax revenue for financing public expenditure under an ageing population. The estimate of the sustainability gap is 2œ per cent of GDP, for the period 2010 – 2060. The estimate is based on the 2009 population projection

The earnings-related pension system is partially pre-funded in Finland and has currently large reserves. This has roused debate whether the pension funds should take a more active role in promoting employment, growth and domestic ownership of the firms. We analyse the justifications presented for and against overweighting domestic investments in the portfolios of the pension

We analyze how changes in the mandatory pension system and the increasing life expectancy will affect the need for private retirement savings in Finland. The time horizon we consider is that of current young generations. We discuss private retirement savings from the point of view households, financial institutions, and public sector. JEL: D14, G22, H24,

Publication year: 2002 Pages: 73 Price: 25.25€ Language: English ETLA A 32

Publication year: 1997 Pages: 189 Price: 29.25€ Language: English ETLA A 23